王垣鑫：黃金死守1300迎“末日審判”
現貨黃金昨日以震盪下跌走勢為主，據大田環球貴金屬黃金盤面報價顯示，昨日金價于1315.1美元/盎司開盤，收于1306美元/盎司，日內最高上行至1320.4美元/盎司，最低下探至1301.8美元/盎司，日線錄得帶上下影線大實體陰線一條。
大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫留意到，昨日金價主要延續前天的下跌過程，在經過前天晚間及昨日淩晨的反彈過程後，正日金價均無出現明顯反彈，一路直下1300美元/盎司整數關口，雖然暫時能站穩在1300美元/盎司上方，並且1小時級別成功做出雙底底部形態。
但從大田環球貴金屬黃金4小時級別盤面上看到，整體下行趨勢依然保存良好，也就是說現貨黃金在1300美元/盎司附近做出的這一個底部形態僅僅是短時間內的底部形態，暫時並未轉變成大級別的底部形態，暗示在大級別上黃金的走勢依舊是偏弱。
另外大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫也留意到，昨日日線跌幅較大，收盤價距離日內低點較近，距離日線ma5壓力較遠，而且從kdj指標可以看出目前日線級別處於超賣區域，其顯著特點就是行情會以ma5為重要壓力參考，在超賣區域中若行情要繼續下跌，每一條日線都需要反抽ma5確認支撐，因此今日的重要壓力觀測位位於日線級別ma5壓力位1315美元/盎司附近。
今日歐盤重點關注1307-1312區間，若能站穩1307上破1312則表示雙底頸線位置回踩成功，接下來要進行反抽日線ma5的動作，若不能站穩1307一線則歐盤走弱，晚間將重回1300整數關口一線等待晚間資料公佈甚至下破1300。
另外晚間美國將公佈小非農ADP就業資料，但由於在美國正式進入加息週期後，非農系列資料行情均為震盪走勢，因此大田環球貴金屬分析師王垣鑫認為，晚間關注重點仍應是淩晨2點的美聯儲利率決議，雖然5月份為小加息週期，並不看好美聯儲會有進一步動作，但由於6月份加息結果為市場關注重點，因此若市場能從此次政策聲明當中找到美聯儲6月份加息的線索，則金價將大概率下破1300整數關口。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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