王垣鑫：白銀突破一步到位後市仍有大考驗
現貨白銀近段時間一直維持低位震盪調整走勢，這一調整週期已經持續了2個月的時間，但昨日晚間現貨白銀多頭突然發力迎來了新轉機，從結果來看昨日白銀大幅拉高，一舉突破了維持2個月的低位盤整區間，目前日線macd指標雙線金叉，1h級別和4h級別均線簇都呈多頭排列形態，從指標上看多頭並未出現太大問題，但今日現貨白銀並不建議繼續追多，原因很簡單，日線ma5支撐並未跟到位，可以從圖中看到，ma5目前正位於16.9美元/盎司一線，但今日銀價一直在17.11-17.29區間震盪，距離ma5支撐較遠乖離較大，這種情況底下，在日線ma5追上銀價之前，也就是說最早在今晚12點日線收線之前，都不看好白銀的價格會繼續大幅拉高，因此需謹慎追多，建議以17.11-17.29區間震盪思路對待。
除了日線在今日內ma5不能跟上價格提供支撐不建議追多外，還有一個非常重要的原因就是周線形態為收斂三角形震盪形態，可以看到上方的低點在不停的降低，下方主要低點基本維持在同一水平線，而且經過昨晚的大幅拉漲之後，目前現貨白銀的價格正位於三角形上軌下方，只有周線上面都能夠突破這一重要反壓位置，白銀短時間內後市才能看進一步的打開上行空間，因此對於現貨白銀來講17.30美元/盎司上方開始為後市上行的重大考驗，一旦突破成功，後市將往18.6及21美元/盎司看齊，但一旦突破失敗，白銀或將有重回下方15.60美元/盎司一線測試支撐的風險，因此在這關鍵節點上追多請務必謹慎。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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