熊傲君：大漲後回落修正，市場靜候週五
2018.03.08黃金策略
昨日回顧：昨日金價並沒有延續週二的漲勢，反而在節奏點當中出現大幅回落，而且修正力度較大，幾乎補回週二漲幅，早間出現跳漲至1340附近一線後回落，並且歐盤繼續走出新低，導致美盤回落的可能性加大，加上昨天的資料繼續表現上佳，市場避險情緒進一步消退的情況下，金價的下行也是得以加快，隔夜最低跌回至1322一線附近，儘管沒有吞完整波漲幅，但是這樣的下跌速率意味著基本非農前難以再打開方向，早間亞盤波動不大，預料日內幅度亦是有限。
消息面：美聯儲於昨日發佈經濟褐皮書，。其中提到，美國勞動力市場收緊，使得美國大部分地區的工資水準在2月下旬都在上漲，另外，白宮首席經濟顧問科恩忍無可忍拂袖而去，一度對全球投資者的情緒造成了巨大衝擊。不過，到了3月7日，美國政府高官紛紛再度出面給特朗普打圓場，這在一定程度上平抑了市場恐慌。晚間將迎來初請失業金資料以及歐央行利率決議，屆時德拉基也會出席新聞發佈會，關注歐元區方面貨幣政策動態。
今日展望：金價昨日回跌空間較大，那麼就不是極強單邊走勢，因此今天多頭也難有大起色，所以目前要繼續以震盪思路對待，整體長線還是看漲，但是短期明顯還是受到加息和利空資料打壓，所以短線上還是觀察日內節奏再考慮操作，比方說目前價格在1325-1330，歐盤若站穩1330上方，我們再低多進場，晚間做1330-1340的空間，若歐盤繼續走弱破回1325下方，那麼晚間可能要做1315-1325的高空操作。
從現貨黃金4小時圖看：金價目前多頭的瓶頸位元在於1341上方，需要等待後市確認破位才能延續，目前更像處於震盪築底行情，稍後歐盤時段重點關注1330一線反壓，若歐盤再度走強，我們依舊要考慮多單，目前短期均線組陷入糾結狀態，頻繁交替，下方MACD指標日內能否拉回金叉也是關鍵所在，若能再次破高，這波多頭走勢才算是真正的發力信號。
操作建議： 1300-1320長線多單拿著，今年目標依舊是1400上方，加息前若有回檔依舊可以進場。加息前預料還會有一次探低機會，想跟進的不要再錯過了。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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