熊傲君:特朗普關鍵時刻發威,金價絕境重生!
2018.03.02黃金策略
昨日回顧:昨日金價在早盤時段承壓明顯,反彈無力保持繼續下行走勢,歐盤時段再刷新低,意味著美盤依舊偏弱,美盤早段下破1310支撐,隨後沖至1304附近,此時行情開始出現反復,先是迅速反彈1311附近,受壓再次回落,並再次突破前低至1302附近,但特朗普突然發難,幫助金價出現大逆轉,金價瞬間重回1310上方,隔夜最高漲至1320一線,補回日內所以跌幅,金價多頭死灰復燃,緊守1300大關口,面對多重利空條件下,金價仍是相當抗跌,相當有未來的體現。
消息面:消息上,昨日的資料表現繼續強勁,物價指數,個人支出均符合預期,通脹水準確實有望保持攀升,另外初請失業金人數繼續刷新新低,僅有21萬,表明就業市場也相當良好,加息已是不可避免,而隨後的鮑威爾再次鷹派發言也印證了這一點,但是昨夜令人意外的是特朗普的發威,特朗普行情再次席捲市場,美國總統特朗普宣佈,將對進口鋼和鋁徵收關稅,其徵收的稅率分別為25%和10%。投資者猜測隨著美國貿易保護主義抬頭,全球貿易戰或因此打響。不得不說關鍵時候還得靠特朗普!
今日展望:金價先跌後漲,形態上走出V型反轉,表明下方支撐也是相當強大,1300一線昨晚已經觸及,隨後迅速反彈也表明了這一點,此前已經給大家強調過今年是上移區間,1300不是那麼好破的,就像上年的1200大關,另外也給大家說過短期回檔就是給長線做多的機會,美元也提到過91上方一線就是強力反壓,昨日也達到了90.96,那麼這就是共振,當然目前還不能說為反轉,畢竟加息還有兩周,點位也未完成形成反轉確認,但反彈的速率遠遠大於下跌,這已經是好的勢頭,未來長線金價多頭依舊可期。
從現貨黃金日線圖看:金價大幅反彈乃下行修正的局面,目前仍待更進一步確認,不要怕雙頂形態,此前說過不會走出空間來的,上年在1200一線也試過雙頂,結果呢?只是虛破,目前均線組短期施壓,而且昨日大幅反彈後,短線進入週五可能會走得比較震盪,長線觀點不變,耐心持有,短線關注歐盤強弱確認今日是繼續拉升還是震盪,拉升需破昨晚高點,震盪則破1315,後者週五將圍繞1310-1320區間震盪確認底部,前者將沖至1325-1330區間。
操作建議:之前提醒的若有意做長線的,1300-1320都可以考慮,有嘗試的繼續拿穩,今年目標依舊是1400上方,加息前若有回檔依舊可以進場或補倉。
熊傲君簡介:
從事交易多年,收益增長穩定,有豐富的實戰經驗和獨特的市場見解。 擅長各種杠杆交易品種分析,尤其對現貨貴金屬市場有較深研究。熟知莊家博弈和市場心理,獨 創“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。對時間節奏的把控和局部高低點捕捉極准,屢創“ 神單”。交易手法以穩健著稱,被粉絲譽為“穩定帝”,“佈局之王”。
交易格言:交易黃金如同遊擊戰,“敵不動,我不動,敵若動,我先動”。
本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬
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