加拿大央行維持穩定，美元有所下挫
關鍵字：加拿大央行維持穩定
9月9日加拿大央行公佈了貨幣政策決議，維持當前利率不變，雖然加拿大央行的措辭謹慎，但市場仍認為鴿派程度不及市場預期，同時加拿大第三季度的經濟活動反彈比市場預期要好，美元出現了一定下挫。
加拿大央行重申了利率的前瞻指引。貨幣政策方面，加拿大央行將繼續以目前的速度進行大規模的資產購買計畫。將維持政策利率在有效利率下限，直至經濟閒置得到吸納，可實現2%通脹目標。
加拿大央行稱，第三季度經濟活動的反彈速度似乎快於7月份的預期，將持續到經濟復蘇順利進行，並將進行調整，以提供支持復蘇和實現通脹目標所需的貨幣政策刺激。復蘇階段需要貨幣政策提供支持，經濟將繼續需要特別的貨幣政策支持。量化寬鬆計畫將持續到復蘇順利開始。
全球經濟方面，加拿大央行指出，全球和加拿大經濟的發展大致符合其7月份貨幣政策報告中的情景。預計恢復將是緩慢而起伏不定的。美國經濟的反彈強於預期，而新興市場的經濟表現更加複雜。
分析師指出，加拿大央行行長麥克勒姆維持謹慎立場。該行仍可能需要進一步提高債券購買規模。儘管近期加拿大公佈的經濟數據好於加拿大最為擔憂的狀況，但仍然存在巨大風險，而且經濟仍相當疲弱。
此前，數據顯示加拿大就業市場逐步轉好。加拿大8月就業人數增幅降至24.58萬，大致符合市場期值25萬，使得3月及4月流失的300萬就業崗位恢復了190萬，就業分項數據積極，全職職位人口增加20.58萬，失業率推升至10.2%，而勞動力參與率則小幅上升至64.6%，該數據表明，繼一季度就業出現歷史性收縮後，經濟復蘇仍處於正軌，但不會對財政或貨幣政策產生更廣泛的影響。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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