王垣鑫：金價反彈慘遭均線壓制，反彈勢頭一再受阻
雖然上周金價在低位出現大幅度的反彈走勢，在周線級別上錄得了一根大實體的陽線，但本周多頭並沒有取得進一步的戰果，價格一直被承壓在周線MA5均線下方，後市金價是進一步反彈還是繼續被周線均線所壓制，是目前盤面留給投資者最大的懸念。
美聯儲公佈會議紀要
美聯儲公佈的會議紀要顯示，大多數成員認為在2021年減碼QE可能是適宜的。但其他幾人2022年減碼QE才合理；幾名聯儲官員對準備相對迅速地減碼QE持審慎態度；另外幾人認為未來一段時間可能都不會減碼QE。與會者討論資產購買，包括朝著充分就業和物價穩定取得進展。大多數成員認為潛在的減碼抵押貸款支持證券和減碼美國國債是有益的；他們還考慮經濟條件滿足時如何調整資產購買。部分與會者認為減碼QE將取決於經濟形勢，減碼QE的行動與加息的時間點無關。數名聯儲官員表示，如果新冠肺炎變異毒株在美國的傳播情況惡化，他們恐怕會改變對貨幣政策的立場。另外，與會者們感覺近期物價資料可能是暫時性的。
卡什卡利關注疫情傳播情況
美國明尼阿波利斯聯儲主席卡什卡利認為，就美聯儲後續討論何時開始開始減碼QE而言，新冠肺炎德爾塔變異毒株在美國的傳播情況“將顯得尤為重要”。如果該毒株繼續在美國大範圍傳播，繼續迫使美國民眾對重返就業市場持謹慎態度、或者如果其造成企業招聘放緩，至少我本人會反思先前“是時候減碼QE了”的想法，屆時，FOMC應當略微更加保持耐心。
我們從行情上看的話，昨日金價探低回升錄得帶上下影線的K線，雖然目前金價仍在MA5均線支撐上方運行，MACD指標雙線也仍在維持金叉運行狀態，但價格已經連續三天沒出現新高不利於後市多頭的進一步延續。小級別方面，金價自本周初於1795一線位置承壓後一直維持高位震盪回落，雖然目前4HMACD指標雙線仍在死叉向下運行的過程當中，但空頭力度卻有放緩的跡象。下方1775一線位置經多次測試後暫時未能取得進一步突破，短時間內方向並不明朗，建議繼續留意1775-1795區間的震盪及後市突破情況。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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