熊傲君：CPI數據將成關鍵，黃金價格穩步前行
近段時間的黃金價格出現持續性走高，因為在通脹數據逐步回落的情況下，目前市場普遍認為美聯儲將會進一步放緩加息的步伐，這使得美元指數在高位持續走弱，從而幫助黃金獲得了極大的利好。本周還有非常關鍵的美國CPI數據的公佈，而一旦再次有明顯回落情況的話，恐怕金價還會進一步打開上方空間。
通脹數據明顯回落成關鍵
之所以造成黃金價格在上個月就開始出現大幅反彈的主要原因，毫無疑問是在於開始看到美國通脹水準的回落，儘管目前離設定的目標2%依然有較大的差距，但是已經明顯看到此前美聯儲的大力度加息政策產生了效果，所以在這樣的局面下，美聯儲很有可能會在今年進一步放緩加息的力度，這種背景下往往是黃金最喜歡的情況，所以不排除後市有望再次衝擊2000大關。
經濟衰退風險也施加利好
除了通脹數據的回落可能導致美聯儲放緩加息以外，全球經濟衰退風險的跡象愈發明顯也對美聯儲施加了壓力，因為近期的各項經濟數據都有明顯的回落，尤其是此前的非農數據不及市場預期，就引發了隱憂，當時金價就直接起飛。假如接下來美國的經濟數據繼續表現不佳，那麼將會導致美聯儲不得不儘快減速，所以雙方面都會導致市場認為美聯儲甚至有可能在今年停止加息。
隨著加息進程的深入，2023年可能迎來金融市場的轉捩點，關鍵原因在於通脹水準的回落以及經濟衰退的跡象，都會導致美聯儲即將減慢加息步伐，尤其是本月還有美聯儲利率決議的情況下，而一旦釋放出鴿派的信號，那麼黃金價格的未來前景將會變得更加可觀。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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