王垣鑫：鮑威爾釋放鷹派能量，非農或成趨勢催化劑
關鍵字：十二月非農，非農前瞻
導語：今日晚間美盤將公佈一月一度的非農資料。10月非農資料公佈之後現貨黃金價格持續推升，最高一度上探1876一線位置。但在一段時間的高位震盪後，多頭未能進一步發力隨後價格出現大幅高位回落，目前金價已經跌破1800整數關口並回落至1770附近位置，十一月份的漲幅已經基本收回，本次非農資料的公佈將成為金價多頭反彈的救命稻草還是催命符呢？我們拭目以待。
大田環球貴金屬提示：2021年12月公佈的為2021年11月非農資料
- 市場基本面
美聯儲主席釋放鷹派信號。
美聯儲公佈利率決議維穩於0%-0.25%區間。
初請失業金人數首次降至200萬以下。
- 資料分析
美國10月新增非農就業人口53.10萬，高於預期的增加45萬，前值從增加19.4萬上修至增加31.2萬；美國10月失業率錄得4.60%，分別低於預期值0.1個百分點和低於前值0.2個百分點。不過美國10月勞動參與率不及預期0.1個百分點，持平前值61.60%。
- 技術面走勢
昨日金價在亞盤開盤後震盪下行，雖然歐盤時段在1768一線受支撐出現一輪反彈走勢，但價格在反抽確認1780一線位置壓力之後迅速回落，近期低點被刷新至1762一線附近，目前價格正於1770附近位置進行交投。
- 非農佈局參考
近段時間金價持續回落收回十一月上旬開始的漲幅，雖然短時間內金價在1760附近出現反彈但整體表現仍非常弱勢。晚間非農資料公佈之後，若價格突破1780一線位置，則後市或將能看到再度測試1800整數關口的情況；但若價格轉頭突破1760低位，則後市或將只能在1740-1750區間內找到比較良好的支撐。
（建議僅供參考，入市有風險，投資需謹慎）
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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