王垣鑫：多因素助攻黃金，1500爭奪仍未平息
近段時間現貨黃金價格一直圍繞1500美元/盎司整數關口來回爭奪，從大田環球貴金屬現貨黃金盤面可以看到，雖然本月初金價曾一度下探1459美元/盎司一線位置，但隨後價格劇烈反彈重回1500美元/盎司整數關口上方，後市再度下探低點主要集中在1470美元/盎司上方，短時間內雖然日線級別高位震盪回落形態未被破壞，但現階段走勢更加趨於寬幅震盪。
美銷售數據不及預期助漲黃金
週三美國方面公佈了9月零售銷售數據，結果該數據表現遠差於預期，數據公佈後，現貨金價短線跳升7美元。具體數據顯示，美國9月零售銷售月率實際公佈-0.3%預期0.3%前值0.4%；美國9月核心零售銷售月率實際公佈-0.1%預期0.2%前值0%。其中美國9月核心零售銷售月率錄得7個月來首次下滑。
隨著消費者支出放緩、貿易不確定性仍存、無序脫歐陰雲未散，經濟學家預計美聯儲將在10月降息來維持經濟擴張，美國零售銷售數據意外下降加劇了經濟憂慮，從而增強了美國連續第三次降息的理由，受此影響美元指數一舉打破維持近幾個月時間的日線級別震盪上漲形態，但周線級別上行走勢依舊健在，後市不排除重新回歸上行走勢，需重點留意上方趨勢線壓力效果。
周線均線壓力或成救命稻草
儘管目前金價日線級別方面均線壓力頻頻失效，但在周線級別看來近段時間雖有虛破動作，但整體仍基本處於ma5均線的壓制狀態底下，後市仍有望承壓延續高位回調過程，另外下方ma20均線支撐亦需要關注，該支撐目前已經上移至1460美元/盎司下方位置，若未來金價在寬幅震盪過程當中與ma20均線進一步接觸，或將出現短時間大幅反彈過程。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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